Riskanalys inom säkerhetsområdet
Risk Assessment in the Safety Area
VRSN25, 7,5 credits, A (Second Cycle)
Valid for: 2021/22
Faculty: Faculty of Engineering, LTH
Decided by: PLED BI/RH
Date of Decision: 2021-04-14
Compulsory for: BI3, RH4-rh
Elective for: Pi4
Language of instruction: The course will be given in Swedish
The aim of the course is that the students gain the capability
of utilizing methods and tools for risk analysis and evaluation as
a basis for making decisions concerning risk management within the
safety area. Furthermore, the course is aimed at providing a
foundation for continuing studies in the risk management field.
Knowledge and understanding
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to describe common accident models within the area of
safety and be able to present the assumptions on which they are
- be able to decribe the basic principles for risk assessment
within the safety area and process safety.
- be able to descrbe both qualitative and quantitative methods
for riskanalysis of systems related to safety.
- have basic knowledge about methods that are based on barrier
perspective and adapted to complex systems.
- have basic knowledge about research and development within risk
analysis and evaluation in the safety area.
Competences and skills
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to identify risks in systems related to safety.
- be able to analyse such systems and calculate relevant risk
- be able use qualitative and quantiative methods and tools for
risk assessment, also in situations that are new for the
- be able to evaluate the contents of existing risk
- be able to, both orally and in writing, present the results and
discuss the implications of an risk assessment in a way
understandable to persons with different knowledge
- be able to utilise material in scientific publications that is
relevant for risk analysis within the area of safety.
- demonstrate the capacity to plan and undertake project
assignments and in doing so focused on risk assessments demonstrate
a capacity for teamwork.
Judgement and approach
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to assess the applicability of various risk analysis
methods depending on the nature of the problem and within the
framework of safety.
- be able to carry out analyses in a way that takes into
consideration both scientific, societal and ethical aspects.
- be able to realise and judge the limitations of a conducted
The course covers an overview of risk assessment in safety,
accident theories, barrier perspectives, complex systems and
quality of risk assessments. And in-depth consideration and
applications of qualitative and quantitative methods for risk
analysis, likelihood estimations, consequence analysis, uncertainty
analysis, risk presentation, risk evaluation and the risk
Grading scale: TH - (U,3,4,5) - (Fail, Three, Four, Five)
Assessment: The examination represents a combination of results individual assignments, group assignments and a written examination. The examination consists of both questions on theory and questions of a problem-solving nature. Participation in obligatory seminars is required.
The examiner, in consultation with Disability Support Services, may deviate from the regular form of examination in order to provide a permanently disabled student with a form of examination equivalent to that of a student without a disability.
Code: 0117. Name: Written Examination.
Credits: 4. Grading scale: TH. Assessment: Written examination. Contents: This element constitutes the whole course including an overview of risk assessment in safety, accident theories, barrier perspectives, complex systems, and quality of risk assessments. And in-depth consideration and applications of qualitative and quantitative methods for risk analysis, likelihood estimations, consequence analysis, uncertainty analysis, risk presentation, risk evaluation and the risk assessment process.
Code: 0217. Name: Indivudal Assignments and Group Assignments.
Credits: 3,5. Grading scale: UG. Assessment: Successfully completed individual assignments and project assignments completed in groups. Contents: During the course a number of individual assignments as well as a major group project assignments are to be completed. For the project assignments, supervisors are available for consultation.
Assumed prior knowledge: FMA430 Calculus in Several Variables or FMAB30 Calculus in Several Variables
Basic course in risk assessment, at least 7,5 hp.
The number of participants is limited to: No
Completed university credits within the program. Within programs where the course is given as a compulsory course students are guaranteed admission.
Thereafter priority is given to students enrolled in programs that include the course in the curriculum.
The course overlaps following course/s: VBRN01, VBR180
- CCPS: Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers, 2000.
- Fischer, S.: Vådautsläpp av brandfarliga och giftiga gaser och vätskor. Försvarets forskningsanstalt, FOA Umeå , 1997. Pp. 1-10, 113-139, 161-196, 243-277.
- Apostolakis, G.: How useful is Quantitative risk assessment?. 2004. Risk Analysis, 24(3): 515-520.
- CCPS: Guidelines for Developing Quantitative Safety Risk Criteria. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers, 2009. Chapter 4: Considerations in Developing Risk Criteria.
- CCPS: Evaluating Process Safety in the Chemical Industry: A user’s guide to quantitative risk analysis. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers. , 2000.
- CCPS: Guidelines for Hazard Evaluation Procedures. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers. , 1992.
- DNV Värdering av risk. Rapport skriven för Statens räddningsverk, Karlstad, 1997.
- Duijm, N. J. : Recommendations on the Use and Design of Risk Matrices. 2015. Safety Science 76, pp. 21-31.
- FOA: Vådautsläpp av brandfarliga och giftiga gaser och vätskor. Försvarets forskningsanstalt, Umeå, 1997. Page 1-10, 113-139, 161-196, 243-277.
- Hollnagel: Barriers and Accident Prevention. Ashgate, 2004. Page. 44-67.
- Hollnagel: Risk + barriers = safety?. 2008. Safety Science 46: 221–229.
- Hollnagel E., Wears R.L. and Braithwaite J. : From Safety-I to Safety-II: A White Paper. The Resilient Health Care Net: Published simultaneously by the University of Southern Denmark, University of Florida, USA, and Macquarie University, Australia, 2015.
- IPS: Introduktion till Processäkerhet. Intresseföreningen för processäkerhet, 2010.
- Johansen, I. L. & Rausand, M. : Foundations and choice of risk metrics. 2014. Safety Science 62: 386–399.
- Johansson, H. : Bayesiansk uppdatering. Kompendium, Avdelningen för brandteknik och riskhantering, Lunds universitet, Lund , 2007.
- MSB: Vägledning: Riskutredning för mindre och medelstora verksamheter. Myndigheten för Samhällsskydd och Beredskap, 2017.
- Möller, N & Hansson, S.O. : Principles of engineering safety: Risk and uncertainty reduction. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2008. 93: 776–783.
- O’Hagan, A., C. E. Buck, A. Daneshkhah, J. R. Eiser, P. H. Garthwaite, D. J. Jenkinson, J. E. Oakley and T. Rakow : Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts’ Probabilities. John Wiley & Sons, 2006.
- Otway and von Winterfeldt : Expert Judgment in Risk Analysis and Management: Process, Context, and Pitfalls. 1992. Risk Analysis, 12(1): 83-93.
- Pasman, H. J., Jung, S., Prem, K., Rogers, W. J., Yang, X. : Is risk analysis a useful tool for improving process safety?. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2009. 22: 769–777.
- Rae, A., Alexander. R. & McDermid, J. : Fixing the cracks in the crystal ball: A maturity model for Quantitative risk assessment. 2014. Reliability Engineering and SystemSafety:125: 67–81.
- Rausand, M. : Risk Assessment: Theory, Methods, and Applications. Hobroken: Wiley, 2011.
- WSP: Detaljerad riskbedömning avseende farligt gods på Drottningholmsvägen i höjd med Tranebergsängen. WSP Brand & Risk, Stockholm, 2011.
- DNV: Värdering av risk, Rapport skriven för Statens räddningsverk, Karlstad. 1997.
- Goerlandt, F., Khakzad, N., & Reniers, G. : Validity and validation of safety-related quantitative risk analysis: A review. 2017. Safety Science, 99, 127-139.
- Hopkins, A. : Thinking about process safety indicators. 2009. Safety Science 47: 460–465.
- Modarres, M. : Risk analysis in engineering: techniques, tools, and trends. CRC press, 2006.
- Noekland, T. E., & Aven, T. : On Selection of Importance Measures in Risk and Reliability Analysis. 2013. International Journal of Performability Engineering, 9(2).
Contact and other information
Course coordinator: Henrik Hassel, firstname.lastname@example.org
Further information: Group assignments require active participation. Each group member must individually be able to account for the content of the assignment. If a group member does not fulfill the demands of the group or ignores hers/his commitment, she/he can be reassigned to another group or get a fail result.