Riskanalys inom säkerhetsområdet
Risk Assessment in the Safety Area
VRSN25, 7,5 credits, A (Second Cycle)
Valid for: 2019/20
Decided by: PLED BI/RH
Date of Decision: 2019-03-27
Compulsory for: BI3, RH4-rh
Elective for: Pi4
Language of instruction: The course will be given in Swedish
The aim of the course is that the students gain the capability
of utilizing methods and tools for risk analysis and evaluation as
a basis for making decisions concerning risk management within the
safety area. Furthermore, the course is aimed at providing a
foundation for continuing studies in the risk management field.
Knowledge and understanding
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to describe common accident models within the area of
safety and be able to present the assumptions on which they are
- be able to decribe the basic principles for risk assessment
within the safety area and process safety
- be able to descrbe both qualitative and quantitative methods
for riskanalysis of systems related to safety
- have basic knowledge about methods that are based on barrier
perspective and adapted to complex systems
- have basic knowledge about research and development within risk
analysis and evaluation in the safety area
Competences and skills
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to identify risks in systems related to safety
- be able to analyse such systems and calculate relevant risk
- be able use qualitative and quantiative methods and tools for
risk assessment, also in situations that are new for the
- be able to evaluate the contents of existing risk
- be able to, both orally and in writing, present the results and
discuss the implications of an risk assessment in a way
understandable to persons with different knowledge
- be able to utilise material in scientific publications that is
relevant for risk analysis within the area of safety
- demonstrate the capacity to plan and undertake project
assignments and in doing so focused on risk assessments demonstrate
a capacity for teamwork
Judgement and approach
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to assess the applicability of various risk analysis
methods depending on the nature of the problem and within the
framework of safety
- be able to carry out analyses in a way that takes into
consideration both scientific, societal and ethical aspects.
- be able to realise and judge the limitations of a conducted
The course covers an overview of risk assessment in safety,
accident theories, barrier perspectives, complex systems and
quality of risk assessments. And in-depth consideration and
applications of qualitative and quantitative methods for risk
analysis, likelihood estimations, consequence analysis, uncertainty
analysis, risk presentation, risk evaluation and the risk
Grading scale: TH - (U,3,4,5) - (Fail, Three, Four, Five)
Assessment: The examination represents a combination of results individual assignments, group assignments and a written examination. The examination consists of both questions on theory and questions of a problem-solving nature. Participation in obligatory seminars is required.
The examiner, in consultation with Disability Support Services, may deviate from the regular form of examination in order to provide a permanently disabled student with a form of examination equivalent to that of a student without a disability.
Code: 0117. Name: Written Examination.
Credits: 4. Grading scale: TH. Assessment: Written examination. Contents: This element constitutes the whole course including an overview of risk assessment in safety, accident theories, barrier perspectives, complex systems, and quality of risk assessments. And in-depth consideration and applications of qualitative and quantitative methods for risk analysis, likelihood estimations, consequence analysis, uncertainty analysis, risk presentation, risk evaluation and the risk assessment process.
Code: 0217. Name: Indivudal Assignments and Group Assignments.
Credits: 3,5. Grading scale: UG. Assessment: Successfully completed individual assignments and project assignments completed in groups. Contents: During the course a number of individual assignments as well as a major group project assignments are to be completed. For the project assignments, supervisors are available for consultation.
- Basic Course in Statistics, at least 7,5hp
Required prior knowledge: FMA430 Calculus in Several Variables or FMAB30 Calculus in Several Variables
Basic course in risk assessment, at least 7,5 hp.
The number of participants is limited to: No
Selection: Students from the Bachelor's program in Fire Safety Engineering and the Master's program in Risk Management and Safety Engineering are guaranteed to be admitted to the course provided they fulfill the entry requirements
The course overlaps following course/s: VBRN01, VBR180
- CCPS: Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers, 2000.
- Fischer, S.: Vådautsläpp av brandfarliga och giftiga gaser och vätskor. Försvarets forskningsanstalt, FOA Umeå , 1997. Pp. 1-10, 113-139, 161-196, 243-277.
- Apostolakis, G.: How useful is Quantitative risk assessment?. 2004. Risk Analysis, 24(3): 515-520.
- CCPS: Guidelines for Developing Quantitative Safety Risk Criteria. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers, 2009. Chapter 4: Considerations in Developing Risk Criteria.
- CCPS: Evaluating Process Safety in the Chemical Industry: A user’s guide to quantitative risk analysis. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers. , 2000.
- CCPS: Guidelines for Hazard Evaluation Procedures. New York, Center for Chemical Process Safety, American Institute of Chemical Engineers. , 1992.
- DNV Värdering av risk. Rapport skriven för Statens räddningsverk, Karlstad, 1997.
- Duijm, N. J. : Recommendations on the Use and Design of Risk Matrices. 2015. Safety Science 76, pp. 21-31.
- FOA: Vådautsläpp av brandfarliga och giftiga gaser och vätskor. Försvarets forskningsanstalt, Umeå, 1997. Page 1-10, 113-139, 161-196, 243-277.
- Hollnagel: Barriers and Accident Prevention. Ashgate, 2004. Page. 44-67.
- Hollnagel: Risk + barriers = safety?. 2008. Safety Science 46: 221–229.
- Hollnagel E., Wears R.L. and Braithwaite J. : From Safety-I to Safety-II: A White Paper. The Resilient Health Care Net: Published simultaneously by the University of Southern Denmark, University of Florida, USA, and Macquarie University, Australia, 2015.
- IPS: Introduktion till Processäkerhet. Intresseföreningen för processäkerhet, 2010.
- Johansen, I. L. & Rausand, M. : Foundations and choice of risk metrics. 2014. Safety Science 62: 386–399.
- Johansson, H. : Bayesiansk uppdatering. Kompendium, Avdelningen för brandteknik och riskhantering, Lunds universitet, Lund , 2007.
- MSB: Vägledning: Riskutredning för mindre och medelstora verksamheter. Myndigheten för Samhällsskydd och Beredskap, 2017.
- Möller, N & Hansson, S.O. : Principles of engineering safety: Risk and uncertainty reduction. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 2008. 93: 776–783.
- O’Hagan, A., C. E. Buck, A. Daneshkhah, J. R. Eiser, P. H. Garthwaite, D. J. Jenkinson, J. E. Oakley and T. Rakow : Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts’ Probabilities. John Wiley & Sons, 2006.
- Otway and von Winterfeldt : Expert Judgment in Risk Analysis and Management: Process, Context, and Pitfalls. 1992. Risk Analysis, 12(1): 83-93.
- Pasman, H. J., Jung, S., Prem, K., Rogers, W. J., Yang, X. : Is risk analysis a useful tool for improving process safety?. Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, 2009. 22: 769–777.
- Rae, A., Alexander. R. & McDermid, J. : Fixing the cracks in the crystal ball: A maturity model for Quantitative risk assessment. 2014. Reliability Engineering and SystemSafety:125: 67–81.
- Rausand, M. : Risk Assessment: Theory, Methods, and Applications. Hobroken: Wiley, 2011.
- WSP: Detaljerad riskbedömning avseende farligt gods på Drottningholmsvägen i höjd med Tranebergsängen. WSP Brand & Risk, Stockholm, 2011.
- DNV: Värdering av risk, Rapport skriven för Statens räddningsverk, Karlstad. 1997.
- Goerlandt, F., Khakzad, N., & Reniers, G. : Validity and validation of safety-related quantitative risk analysis: A review. 2017. Safety Science, 99, 127-139.
- Hopkins, A. : Thinking about process safety indicators. 2009. Safety Science 47: 460–465.
- Modarres, M. : Risk analysis in engineering: techniques, tools, and trends. CRC press, 2006.
- Noekland, T. E., & Aven, T. : On Selection of Importance Measures in Risk and Reliability Analysis. 2013. International Journal of Performability Engineering, 9(2).
Contact and other information
Course coordinator: Henrik Hassel, firstname.lastname@example.org
Further information: Group assignments require active participation. Each group member must individually be able to account for the content of the assignment. If a group member does not fulfill the demands of the group or ignores hers/his commitment, she/he can be reassigned to another group or get a fail result.