Course syllabus

Riskanalysmetoder
Risk Analysis Methods

VBR180, 15 credits, A (Second Cycle)

Valid for: 2016/17
Decided by: Education Board C
Date of Decision: 2016-03-31

General Information

Compulsory for: BI3, RH4-rh
Elective for: BME4, Pi4
Language of instruction: The course will be given in Swedish

Aim

The aim of the course is that, in combination with earlier courses, the students gain the capability of utilizing tools for decision-making in matters of risk management within the fields of Safety, Health, and Environment (SHE). Furthermore, the course is aimed at providing a foundation for continuing studies in the risk management field.

Learning outcomes

Knowledge and understanding
For a passing grade the student must

• be able to describe how uncertainty at various levels in risk analysis affects the magnitude of the risk.
• be able to identify risks within systems associated with safety, health, and environment.
• be able to describe risk analysis methods for systems associated with safety, health, and environment.
• be able to analyse such systems and be able to calculate the relevant risk measurement values.
• be able to explain complexities inherent in the risk concept.
• demonstrate knowledge of present research and developments within the area of risk management related to safety, health and environment.

Competences and skills
For a passing grade the student must

• be able to utilize, in a new situation, the methods and tools used in risk analysis.
• be able to evaluate the contents of existing risk analyses.
• be able to assess the reasonableness of input data in cases where the knowledge base is uncertain.
• be able to report, both orally and in writing, and discuss the implications of an executed risk analysis in a way understandable to persons with different knowledge backgrounds.
• be able to utilise material in scientific publications that is relevant for risk analysis within the fields of safety, health, and environment.
• be able to apply, with a certain amount of independence, knowledge concerning risk analysis in a new situation.
• demonstrate a capacity for teamwork and for working in groups,
• demonstrate the capacity to plan and with adequate methods undertake project assignments focused on risk assessments.

Judgement and approach
For a passing grade the student must

• be able to assess the applicability of various risk analysis methods depending on the nature of the problem and within the framework of safety, health, and environment.
• be able to carry out analyses in a way that takes into consideration both scientific, societal and ethical aspects.

Contents

The overriding elements in the course, "Risk Analysis Methods" consist of: Introduction to the field' with a review of the risk analysis field for SHE; Uncertainty Analysis, Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Health; Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Environment, including methods for transport mechanisms in soil and water; as well as Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Safety, including methods for transport mechanisms in air.

Examination details

Grading scale: TH
Assessment: The examination represents a combination of results of tests, a written examination and the project assignments undertaken. The examination consists of both questions on theory and questions of a problem-solving nature.

Parts
Code: 0108. Name: Risk Analysis Methods.
Credits: 7,5. Grading scale: TH. Assessment: Writen examination. Contents: The central elements in the course, "Risk Analysis Methods" consist of: Introduction to the field' with a review of the risk analysis field for SHE; Uncertainty Analysis, Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Health; Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Environment, including methods for transport mechanisms in soil and water; as well as Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Safety, including methods for transport mechanisms in air.
Code: 0208. Name: Project Assignments.
Credits: 7,5. Grading scale: UG. Assessment: Successfully completed home assignments and project assignments. Contents: During the course, a number of home assignments, as well as three major project assignments, are to be completed. These assignments are to be completed either individually or in a group. For the project assignments, tutors are available for consultation. The project assignments contain relevant problem issues within the three principal fields, Safety, Health, and Environment, that the students are required to deal with. The project assignments are to be reported in written form, and in one case, also orally.

Admission

Admission requirements:

• Basic Course in Statistics, at least 7,5hp

Required prior knowledge: FMA430 , Calculus in Several Variables.
The number of participants is limited to: No
The course overlaps following course/s: VBRN01

Reading list

• Nilsson, J.: Introduktion till riskanalysmetoder. LUCRAM, Lund, 2000.
• Handbok för riskanalys. Räddningsverket, Karlstad, 2003.
• ISO 31000 Risk Management – Principles and Guidelines. International Organization for Standardization, 2009.
• Morgan & Henrion: Uncertainty. Cambridge University Press, 1990. Chapter 4 och 8.
• Paté-Cornell: Uncertainties in risk analysis – six levels of treatment. 1996. In Reliability Engineering and System Safety 54 1996. sid 95-111.
• Nystedt, F.: Riskanalysmetoder. Brandteknik LTH, 2000.
• Kompendium i miljötoxikologi för miljötoxikologikurs på kemitekniklinjen. Avd för yrkes- och miljömedicin. Universitetssjukhuset i Lund, 2002. Version 1.12.2002. pp. 3-12, 21-40 och 123-127.
• Künzli, N. m fl: Public-health impact of outdoor and traffic-related air pollution: a European assessment. 2000. The Lancet, Vol 356, pp 795-783, 2000.
• CCPS Guidelines for chemical process quantitative risk analysis. American Institute of Chemical Engineers, New York , 1989. Chapter 4 and 8.1.
• Lauridsen m fl: Assessing the uncertainties in the process of risk analysis of chemical establishments: Part I och Part II.
• Fischer, S.: Vådautsläpp av brandfarliga och giftiga gaser och vätskor. Försvarets forskningsanstalt, FOA Umeå , 1997. Pp. 1-10, 113-139, 161-196, 243-277.
• Riskhantering 3, Tekniska riskanalysmetoder. Kemikontoret, Stockholm, 2001.
• Karlsson H. T.: Fördjupning av felträd ”Kursmaterial ”Felträdsanalys”. , Utdrag ur Riskanalysmetoder, 1997och CPQRA kap 3”.
• Alfredsson, C., och Carlsson, C.H.: Räddningstjänst och miljö. Räddningsverket, 2006.
• Kaplan, S. & Garrick, B. J.: On the quantitative definition of risk. 1981. Risk Analysis, Vol 1, No 1, 1981.
• Apostolakis, G.: How useful is Quantitative risk assessment?. 2004. Risk Analysis, Vol 24, No 3, 2004.
• Öberg, T.: Miljöriskanalys. Studentlitteratur, 2009.

Contact and other information

Course coordinator: Henrik Hassel, henrik.hassel@risk.lth.se
Further information: Group assignments require active participation. Each group member must individually be able to account for the content of the assignment. If a group member does not fulfill the demands of the group or ignores hers/his commitment, she/he can be reassigned to another group or get a fail result.