Risk Analysis Methods
VBR180, 15 credits, A (Second Cycle)
Valid for: 2012/13
Decided by: Education Board 2
Date of Decision: 2012-03-16
Compulsory for: BI3, RH4-rh
Elective for: Pi4, Pi4-mrk
Language of instruction: The course will be given in Swedish
The aim of the course is that, in combination with earlier
courses, the students gain the capability of utilizing tools for
decision-making in matters of risk management within the fields of
Safety, Health, and Environment (SHE). Furthermore, the course is
aimed at providing a foundation for continuing studies in the risk
Knowledge and understanding
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to describe how uncertainty at various levels in risk
analysis affects the magnitude of the risk.
- be able to identify risks within systems associated with
safety, health, and environment.
- be able to describe risk analysis methods for systems
associated with safety, health, and environment.
- be able to analyse such systems and be able to calculate the
relevant risk measurement values.
- be able to explain complexities inherent in the risk
- demonstrate knowledge of present research and developments
within the area of risk management related to safety, health and
Competences and skills
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to utilize, in a new situation, the methods and tools
used in risk analysis.
- be able to evaluate the contents of existing risk
- be able to assess the reasonableness of input data in cases
where the knowledge base is uncertain.
- be able to report, both orally and in writing, and discuss the
implications of an executed risk analysis in a way understandable
to persons with different knowledge backgrounds.
- be able to utilise material in scientific publications that is
relevant for risk analysis within the fields of safety, health, and
- be able to apply, with a certain amount of
independence, knowledge concerning risk analysis in a new
- demonstrate a capacity for teamwork and for working in
- demonstrate the capacity to plan and with adequate methods
undertake project assignments focused on risk assessments.
Judgement and approach
For a passing grade the student must
- be able to assess the applicability of various risk analysis
methods depending on the nature of the problem and within the
framework of safety, health, and environment.
- be able to carry out analyses in a way that takes into
consideration both scientific, societal and ethical aspects.
The overriding elements in the course, "Risk Analysis Methods"
consist of: Introduction to the field' with a review of the risk
analysis field for SHE; Uncertainty Analysis, Risk Analysis
Methodology within the field of Health; Risk Analysis Methodology
within the field of Environment, including methods for transport
mechanisms in soil and water; as well as Risk Analysis Methodology
within the field of Safety, including methods for transport
mechanisms in air.
Grading scale: TH
Assessment: The examination represents a combination of results of tests, a written examination and the project assignments undertaken. The examination consists of both questions on theory and questions of a problem-solving nature.
Code: 0108. Name: Risk Analysis Methods.
Credits: 7,5. Grading scale: TH. Assessment: Writen examination. Contents: The central elements in the course, "Risk Analysis Methods" consist of: Introduction to the field' with a review of the risk analysis field for SHE; Uncertainty Analysis, Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Health; Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Environment, including methods for transport mechanisms in soil and water; as well as Risk Analysis Methodology within the field of Safety, including methods for transport mechanisms in air.
Code: 0208. Name: Project Assignments.
Credits: 7,5. Grading scale: UG. Assessment: Successfully completed home assignments and project assignments. Contents: During the course, a number of home assignments, as well as three major project assignments, are to be completed. These assignments are to be completed either individually or in a group. For the project assignments, tutors are available for consultation. The project assignments contain relevant problem issues within the three principal fields, Safety, Health, and Environment, that the students are required to deal with. The project assignments are to be reported in written form, and in one case, also orally.
- TNX071 Statistics with Decision Theory
Required prior knowledge: FMA430 , Calculus in Several Variables.
The number of participants is limited to: 80
Selection: Credits remaining for the degree. Priority for students on the Fire safety engineering programme, year 3.
The course overlaps following course/s: VBRN01
- Nilsson, J.: Introduktion till riskanalysmetoder. LUCRAM, Lund, 2000.
- Handbok för riskanalys. Räddningsverket, Karlstad, 2003.
- IEC - Dependability management. Application Guide - Risk analysis of technological systems., Part 3, Sect 9 IEC600-3-9. International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC), , 1995.
- Morgan & Henrion: Uncertainty. Cambridge University Press, 1990. Chapter 4 och 8.
- Paté-Cornell: Uncertainties in risk analysis – six levels of treatment. 1996. In Reliability Engineering and System Safety 54 1996. sid 95-111.
- Nystedt, F.: Riskanalysmetoder. Brandteknik LTH, 2000.
- Kompendium i miljötoxikologi för miljötoxikologikurs på kemitekniklinjen. Avd för yrkes- och miljömedicin. Universitetssjukhuset i Lund, 2002. Version 1.12.2002. pp. 3-12, 21-40 och 123-127.
- Kemikalieinspektionen: Riskbedömning och riskhantering inom kemikaliekontrollen - 11/95. Kemikalieinspektionen, 1995.
- Künzli, N. m fl: Public-health impact of outdoor and traffic-related air pollution: a European assessment. 2000. The Lancet, Vol 356, pp 795-783, 2000.
- Fetter, C. W.: Applied Hydrogeology, 4th ed. Prentice Hall, New Jersey, 2001.
- Runkel & Bencala: Transport of reacting solutes in rivers and streams. Kluwer Academic Publishers. Dordrecht , The Netherlands, 1995. Chapter 5.
- van Leeuwen, C. J. & Hermens, J. L. M.: Risk Assessment of Chemicals – an introduction. 1999. Pp. 37 – 42, 78-84 (3.5.1-3.5.5), 118-120.
- Suter II, G. (Red): Ecological Risk Assessment. Lewis Publishers, Boca Raton, 1993. Chapter 2, Chapter 3: sid 49-66, Chapter 4: sid 96-101, 124-127, Chapter 6: sid 153-169, Chapter 7: sid 185-193, Chpater 8: sid 247-251.
- CCPS Guidelines for chemical process quantitative risk analysis. American Institute of Chemical Engineers, New York , 1989. Chapter 4 and 8.1.
- Lauridsen m fl: Assessing the uncertainties in the process of risk analysis of chemical establishments: Part I och Part II.
- Fischer, S.: Vådautsläpp av brandfarliga och giftiga gaser och vätskor. Försvarets forskningsanstalt, FOA Umeå , 1997. Pp. 1-10, 113-139, 161-196, 243-277.
- Riskhantering 3, Tekniska riskanalysmetoder. Kemikontoret, Stockholm, 2001.
- Karlsson H. T.: Fördjupning av felträd ”Kursmaterial ”Felträdsanalys”. , Utdrag ur Riskanalysmetoder, 1997och CPQRA kap 3”.
- Geotekniska undersökningar:.
- SPIMFAB: Skjutstallslyckan 24, Malmö, – rapport avseende miljötekniska markundersökningar.
- Kaplan, S.: The words of risk analysis. 1997. Risk Analysis, Vol 17, No 4,.
- Kaplan, S. & Garrick, B. J.: On the quantitative definition of risk. 1981. Risk Analysis, Vol 1, No 1, 1981.
- Apostolakis, G.: How useful is Quantitative risk assessment?. 2004. Risk Analysis, Vol 24, No 3, 2004.
- Evans, A. & Verlander, N.: What is wrong with criterion FN-lines for judging the tolerability of risk. 1997. Risk Analysis Vol 17, No 2, 1997.
- Öberg, T.: Miljöriskanalys. Studentlitteratur, 2009.
Contact and other information
Course coordinator: Universitetslektor Håkan Frantzich, email@example.com
Further information: Group assignments require active participation. Each group member must individually be able to account for the content of the assignment. If a group member does not fulfill the demands of the group or ignores hers/his commitment, she/he can be reassigned to another group or get a fail result.